Decision Logic believes that robust acquisition and sustainment strategy analysis must involve cost, capability and risk in a modelling construct that is fit for purpose and of the required fidelity to match the magnitude of the risk of the project.  In other words, the more expensive the capability in question, the more important it is to invest the time and resources to simulate and analyse competing acquisition and sustainment strategies.

Often similar in architecture to the LCC simulations we build, these types of models typically enable complex schedules of platforms to enter service, exist within a prescribed organisation/force structure, undergo standard operations, upgrades, maintenance, other important through life events, and of course service withdrawal.  These models aim to build up an acquisition and sustainment cost, capability and risk picture over life of type for multiple strategies and compare the results side by side. 

Risk and uncertainty are included through randomising important data fields like cost, thus introducing time compounding variability in cost calculations.   This approach yields a single model that enables detailed exploration of the cost and capability tradeoffs for an entire fleet management strategy, made up of multiple platform types, over long time horizons.  

Once built and populated with cost and capability data, Decision Logic is skilled in using these models in facilitated decision workshops to test acquisition and sustainment ideas and undertake trade-off and what-if analysis in a positive environment.  We assist in evolving towards a consensus decision.